Archive for USMNT

Interview with Simon Kuper, author of Soccernomics

In this special podcast recorded for Forza Futbol, we have Simon Kuper, author of the recently published Soccernomics 2nd edition.
Simon is also the author of “Football Against the Enemy”, “Ajax, the Dutch, the War” among others. Simon writes a weekly column in Financial Times.

Click here for all the books of Simon.

Simon joined me from Ukraine to answer a few questions about the Soccernomics second edition, state of Soccer analytics, Soccer in USA and some current topics like the new Premier League TV deal.

Interview length : ~25 minutes


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Here are a few quotes from what we discussed.

1. What do you think of Euro 2012 so far?

“Soccer has been great, players seem more relaxed than at world cup. Euro is less important so it has been more fun.”

Soccernomics

2. Why 2nd Edition

3. What is going on at Liverpool?

“I think nobody quite knows what a Moneyball of soccer will be. I think that was the problem at Liverpool”

About the new management set-up at Liverpool

“Liverpool management is using wisdom of crowds”

4. Technical director role in England

5. Do coaches matter ? What impact does the style of play of a coach have on the performance of the team and how does it manifest into the coach’s rating?

“Identity of the coach is not as important as people think”

“The idea that the coach is this great motivator, I dismiss. The idea that he is this great tactician, a few not many”

6. Who are the top tacticians in the game today?

“I think Wengers great gift is recruiting rather than tactics, probably true with Ferguson as well”

“One problem with successful managers like Mourinho & Louis Van Gaal is they egomaniacs. They think they know it all”

7. What is your take on Pep Guardiola?

“Guardiola created this system of very elaborate rules almost like an NFL playbook”

8. Soccer clubs dont make money  : What is the objective of financial fair-play rules?

Soccer Analytics

“In areas like freekicks, corners and penalties, data has already become extremely significant in Soccer”

9. Houston Rockets GM Daryl Moorey – Analysts are a commodity and what matters is the data? what do think of that when most clubs are using the same data?

“I think the problem in football is that clubs dont know how to analyse data”

10. Power of agents – We recently did a post on the power of agents in football and found out that 50% of all the players of EPL are represented by 20 player agencies

- What impact does this have on the efficiencies in the transfer market?

 Current Issues

11. The new premier league deal  3bill pounds for 2013 – 2016 (it doesnt include Overseas rights) – are you surprised by the size of it? How can you explain that in this tough financial climate?

12. What this mean for other leagues? – do you think this will create a bubble like we saw a decade ago?

“The EPL is becoming the NBA of soccer”

13. What does the Rangers demise mean to Scottish football?

“Football clubs never disappear. Soccer can survive with less money.”

Soccer in USA

14. How far do you think USA has come as a soccer country?

“US now is the most soccer country it has ever been”

15. What are the 3 things that you would change in US soccer if you had the power?

“getting american 7-years olds to think in terms of space”

16. What is your next book going to be about?

Also listen to our interview with Prof. Stefan Szymanski, co-author of Soccernomics.

We thank Simon a lot for his time. As always, it was great listening to his insights and sharing them.

Know Thy Enemy: USA – Chile Preview

Under different circumstances, USA-Chile would be can’t miss event. Marcelo Bielsa has transformed an underperforming Chilean side into one of the most entertaining teams in the world. Bielsa has been able to couple the talents of individuals like Alexis Sanchez (wanted by Chelsea, Man United and Inter Milan to name a few), Matias Fernandez (named South American Player of the Year in between Riquelme and Tevez) and Jorge Valdivia (named Brazilian League Player of the Year) with unique tactics that focus on ball possesion, offensive creativity and a stifiling defensive press. This match could possibly be Bielsa’s final match in charge of La Roja although many believe he will continue on through Copa America and perhaps even longer. Unfortunately, instead of Bielsa’s star pupils being able to send him off with one final demonstration of his managerial genuis, we are stuck with a smattering of B and C squad players because the match is not being played during an official FIFA date. Bielsa is also limited in the number of young players he could call in to camp because the Sudamericano Sub-20 is currently going on. However, all is not lost as the match provides fans an opportunity to see a lot of young players not normally given the opportunity to play outside of their home country.

Chile’s league is currently on their summer break between the Apertura and Clausura so Bielsa’s squad is made up of a mix of young players hoping to earn a final spot in this summer’s Copa America along with a smattering of veterans from the leagues top 3 teams. Esteban Parades is the only player called up who took part in the 2010 World Cup. He’s familiar with Bielsa’s system and is tipped to be leading the front line in a 3-4-3. Joining him up top will be Daud Gazale (Colo Colo) and Fernando Meneses (Universidad Catolica). Meneses will be playing a similar role to Valdivia and Fernandez in the World Cup and he should be the most exciting player to watch. MLS scouts take note: Universidad de Chile (former club of Alvaro Fernandez) offered $1 million for him, but was turned down. He could be a similar player to David Ferriera and might be worth bringing into the league.

The midfield will consist of Paulo Magalhaes (Colo Colo), Felipe Seymour (Universidad de Chile), Felipe Gutiérrez (Universidad Catolica) and Franco Ragusa (Everton de Vina del Mar). Ragusa is an interesting player. Originally brought on the trip as a sparring player, the 17 year old was practicing today with the rest of the starters and looks to have earned himself his first international start. Gutiérrez is another former sparring player who has earned a few opportunities with the national team. At just 20 years old, he’ll match up nicely against some of the youngin’s that Bob Bradley has called up.

The backline will be anchored by the experienced Juan Abarca (31 years old — Universidad de Chile), with Sebastian Toro (Colo Colo) and Lucas Dominguez (Audax Italiano) flanking him. Sebastian Toro was described by his coach, Diego Cagna, as having a lot to learn and it’ll be intersting to see if guys like Bedoya, Bunbury and Agudelo can cause him problems. Bielsa’s system isn’t used by many club teams and could cause some problems for players who aren’t used to it, particularly when the defenders have never played together.

While the lineup isn’t an ideal showcase of Chilean Football, it should contain enough young talent to keep the match exciting. Coincidentally, Chile takes on Uruguay in the Sudamericano Sub 20 at the same time as the US match. ESPN3 will have the replay for those interested in other young talent Chile is producing.

On the Importance of Copa America

This week US Soccer officially announced that its first friendly of 2011 will be against Chile in January and the rumors that they will also be facing Argentina in March were strengthened by FIFA listing that fixture on their official site.  Normally I would be ecstatic over this news, but this week was also the draw for Copa America and the combination of the two really drove home the point of what we’ll be missing out on this summer. 

In order to get better, you need to be playing against opposition that really challenges you and pushes you.  In CONCACAF, the US is at a disadvantage.  For our qualifiers, we either destroy small countries that never really had a shot at qualifying, or we slog through horrible, chippy matches against teams fighting for the 3rd and 4th spots.  These games are difficult, but not for the reasons that help the team grow and improve.  Our only real match that pushes us is against Mexico (and thanks to politics within CONMEBOL, 2014 will be the last time we see them in qualifiers).  Compare that to CONMEBOL qualifying where teams are constantly going up against some of the best teams in the world.  Each and every match is difficult (just ask Argentina about their last trip to Bolivia…wasn’t pretty).  This is why I love CONMEBOL qualifiers and why I love Copa America.  Copa America is all the tension and excitement of the World Cup, but you get to fast forward through the elimination of all the minnow teams like North Korea, New Zealand and Honduras.  Sure, it’s fun to root for the underdogs and hope they can pull off an upset, but honestly, I just want to watch the best teams play the best football.  Copa America gives you that. 

The US is frequently invited to Copa America and frequently declines due to scheduling conflicts.  For reasons unbeknownst to me, they decided to accept the invite in 2007.  This was all well and good, but the CONCACAF Gold Cup was scheduled for the same summer and it is complete madness to send players to two tournaments in the summer, especially since MLS doesn’t have a summer break.  Bob Bradley decided to prioritize the Gold Cup over Copa America and send a “B squad” to Copa America.  That squad, clearly outclassed by the other full strength selections, had a pretty dismal showing and went 3 and out.  Based on that performance, the folks in CONMEBOL decided not to invite us back and instead opt for 2 guest countries that will take it seriously.  For the record, Mexico was also invited and competed in the Gold Cup.   They had no problems bringing a full squad which placed 3rd.  They were invited back. 

So why does it matter that we’re not going?  First, I’m selfish.  I love watching Copa America and I’d love watching it more if the US had a stake in it.  More importantly though, it looks like the tournament had a good effect on the players that went.

  • 40% of players who were playing domestically at the time of the tournament moved abroad to better quality leagues
  • More than a quarter of the players were on the final 23 man roster for the 2010 World Cup, 40% were on the 30 man roster or would have made the roster had they not been injured
  • 8 players 25 or under at the time of the tournament went on to be capped 15 times or more since the tournament.  That equates to a little less than half of all international matches played during that time. 

Now, correlation does not equal causation, but those are pretty impressive stats for a bunch of second stringers.  Missing out on Copa America means less experience in major tournaments for our players before the 2014 World Cup.  Since a lot of the core players from this year’s squad will be retired by 2014, that sort of experience would certainly be valuable.